Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 74.575420 83.832853 93.334254 103.783867 114.922971 126.412884 139.131281
2024-12-22 60.245275 73.444869 87.629691 103.880764 121.862449 141.037466 162.919015
2024-12-29 52.357715 67.808010 84.975158 105.208053 128.158025 153.158462 182.232243
2025-01-05 46.771616 63.911787 83.516810 107.177980 134.563427 164.903652 200.707680
2025-01-12 40.687341 58.720077 79.951610 106.170255 137.096863 171.896574 213.509480
2025-01-19 34.861853 53.253491 75.555224 103.725293 137.564879 176.202722 222.973174
2025-01-26 32.775726 52.239669 76.357938 107.318395 144.986520 188.429308 241.452824
2025-02-02 30.507636 50.760128 76.402100 109.839654 151.019632 198.963778 257.934326
2025-02-09 26.992338 47.314956 73.715120 108.775695 152.558086 204.076869 267.989711
2025-02-16 23.880921 44.151521 71.170610 107.697842 153.921282 208.859886 277.561521
2025-02-23 21.851044 42.341443 70.268718 108.595567 157.633183 216.396163 290.356972
2025-03-02 19.625022 40.051975 68.573270 108.343161 159.813571 222.013858 300.818521
2025-03-09 17.876278 38.365216 67.638365 109.064833 163.243951 229.218152 313.298915
2025-03-16 15.717713 35.847599 65.401660 107.946239 164.253735 233.408094 322.122141
2025-03-23 14.554451 34.819258 65.202030 109.505060 168.658660 241.764421 335.995550
2025-03-30 13.611005 34.069051 65.346130 111.490836 173.594228 250.775374 350.680989
2025-04-06 11.968415 31.959749 63.370992 110.463702 174.525662 254.737668 359.150899
2025-04-13 10.141306 29.310946 60.428996 107.957316 173.404361 256.041053 364.285110
2025-04-20 9.876929 29.528944 61.868297 111.639356 180.512896 267.768725 382.347967
2025-04-27 9.391624 29.276338 62.547211 114.222214 186.150962 277.640784 398.132941
2025-05-04 8.194976 27.493868 60.722081 113.132322 186.800050 281.119507 405.938277
2025-05-11 7.113908 25.801590 58.941620 112.028092 187.370041 284.455579 413.538108
2025-05-18 6.487658 24.997048 58.562156 112.947793 190.678433 291.308676 425.555079